June 19, 2024

Tropical Disturbances Today

1. Western Gulf of Mexico: Tropical Storm Alberto, located over the western Gulf of Mexico  about 295 miles SE of Brownsville, TX, is lumbering WNW towards the coast of Mexico at 8 MPH with maximum sustained winds at 40 MPH. It is bringing heavy winds, coastal flooding, and gusty winds to coasts of Texas and northeastern Mexico through Thursday. Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent and formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

2. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico: Another broad area of low pressure is forecast to develop over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for gradual development of this system through early next week while it moves slowly west-northwestward or  northwestward. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent and formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

3. Southwestern Atlantic Ocean: An area of showers and thunderstorms located several hundred miles east of the Bahamas is associated with a surface trough of low pressure. Environmental conditions are marginally conducive for some gradual development of this system during the next few days while it moves westward or west-northwestward. The system is forecast to approach the coast of the southeastern United States by the latter part of this week. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent and formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

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