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October 29, 2023

Tropical Disturbances Today

Disturbance 1. Southwestern Caribbean Sea: A broad area of low pressure could form in a few days over the central or southwestern Caribbean Sea.  Gradual development thereafter is possible while the system moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent and formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Disturbance 2. Southwestern Atlantic Ocean (AL96): An area of low pressure is located a couple of hundred miles east of the southeastern Bahamas. A short-lived tropical depression or storm is likely to form later today or tonight while the system moves west-northwestward.  By Tuesday, however, strong upper-level winds and dry air should end the chances of further development.  Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent and formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

Disturbance 3. Post-Tropical Cyclone Tammy is now a post-tropical cyclone moving east with an expected turn to the south tonight followed by a motion to the southwest on Monday and Tuesday. Gradual weakening is expected during the next couple of days. There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

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