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September 07, 2023

Tropical Disturbances Today

Disturbance 1. Hurricane Lee is forecast to rapidly strengthen and become a major hurricane by early Friday. Lee is located about 965 miles east of the northern Leeward Islands moving WNW at 13 MPH with 80 MPH maximum sustained winds. A slower motion toward the west-northwest is forecast over the weekend. Large swells are likely to reach the Lesser Antilles, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, the Bahamas, and Bermuda through the weekend. There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Disturbance 2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL96): An area of low pressure is located over the eastern tropical Atlantic near the Cabo Verde Islands.  Environmental conditions are generally conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or so while the disturbance moves toward the west-northwest at about 15 mph. Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent and formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

Disturbance 3. Northeastern Atlantic (ex-Franklin): Post-Tropical Cyclone Franklin is located a few hundred miles west-northwest of the northwestern coast of Spain. The chances of subtropical or tropical development have decreased as the system meanders northwest of Spain and Portugal. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent and formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

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