September 20, 2023

Tropical Disturbances Today

Disturbance 1. Western Atlantic: A non-tropical area of low pressure is expected to form east of the Florida peninsula late this week.  This system could acquire some subtropical characteristics by this weekend while it moves generally northward.  Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent and formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Disturbance 2. Hurricane Nigel is no threat to us and is headed north. There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Disturbance 3. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave is currently located just off the west coast of Africa. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this week or this weekend while the system moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent and formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

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