Tropical Disturbances Today

Disturbance 1. Tropical Depression Harold weakens while crossing northern Mexico. Harold is located about 235 miles south of Midland, Texas moving WNW at 14 MPH with 30 MPH maximum sustained winds. Interests in Southwestern U.S. and northern Mexico should continue to monitor the progress of this system. Harold is expected to dissipate as a tropical cyclone as its surface center devolves while tracking across far northern Mexico.

Disturbance 2. Tropical Storm Franklin is making landfall along the southern coast of the Dominican Republic with heavy rains and maximum sustained winds of 50 MPH. Franklin is moving toward the north a north-northeastward motion is expected for the next day or so, followed by a turn toward the northeast and east-northeast on Thursday.  On the forecast track, the center of Franklin is expected to cross the island of Hispaniola today and emerge over the southwestern Atlantic waters later today or tonight. Some weakening is likely today followed by re-strengthening beginning on Thursday after the center moves over the Atlantic.

Disturbance 3. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL07): An area of low pressure is centered several hundred miles east-northeast of the Leeward Islands (the remnants of former Tropical Storm Emily). Upper-level winds are forecast to become more conducive for development in a day or so, and this system is likely to regenerate into a tropical depression or tropical storm late this week or this weekend when the system moves northward over the subtropical central Atlantic. Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent and formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

Disturbance 4. Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL92): A tropical wave is located several hundred miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands.  Environmental conditions appear only marginally favorable for some slow development through early next week while the system moves west-northwestward to northwestward into the central tropical Atlantic. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent and formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.