For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: An area of low pressure is over the northeastern Gulf of Mexico and became better organized during the overnight hours. Environmental conditions appear marginally favorable for additional development over the next day or so, and a short-lived tropical depression or storm could form. By this weekend, environmental conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for additional development as the system drifts southward, likely remaining offshore over the Gulf of Mexico. Locally heavy rainfall could occur over portions of the Florida Peninsula through this weekend. Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent and formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
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