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October 29, 2022

Tropical Disturbances Today

Disturbance 1. Eastern Caribbean – Still don't know what it will do

A broad area of low pressure remains over the eastern Caribbean Sea. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development over the next few days, and a tropical depression is likely to form by early next week while the disturbance moves slowly westward or west-northwestward over the central Caribbean Sea. Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent and formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent.

Disturbance 2. Western Atlantic – No threat to our area

A low pressure area is located about 150 miles west-northwest of Bermuda. Upper-level winds are forecast to increase over the system later today and tonight, and further development is not anticipated after that time. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent and formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

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