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October 24, 2022

Tropical Disturbances Today

Disturbance 1. Southwestern Atlantic - No threat to our area

An area of low pressure is expected to form north of Puerto Rico over the southwestern Atlantic in a few days.  Thereafter,  environmental conditions appear conducive for some subtropical development of this system while it meanders over the southwestern Atlantic through the early part of the weekend. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent and formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Disturbance 2. Central Subtropical Atlantic - No threat to our area

A trough of low pressure is located around 200 miles east of Bermuda.  Environmental conditions are only marginally conducive for some tropical or subtropical development of this system over the next day or so while it generally moves westward, passing near Bermuda later today and tonight.  Afterward, the system is forecast to turn northward toward cooler waters and less favorable upper-level winds over the northwestern Atlantic, and further development is not anticipated by that time. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent and formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

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