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September 14, 2021

Tropical Outlook Today

Disturbance 1. Tropical Storm Nicholas will bring heavy rainfall across the upper coast of Texas and across Louisiana, southern Mississippi and far southern Alabama through the middle of the week. Tropical storm conditions are expected along the Texas coast today and along the southwestern Louisiana a coast this afternoon.

Disturbance 2. An area of low pressure is expected to form during the next day or two a couple of hundred miles north of the Bahamas as a tropical wave. A tropical depression could form later this week while the system moves north-northwestward or northward across the western Atlantic. Formation chance through 48 hours is at 30% and formation chance through 5 days is at 60%. 

Disturbance 3. A tropical wave located about 400 miles southeast of the southern Cabo Verde Islands is likely to form into a tropical depression during the next couple of days while system moves generally westward at about 15 mph across the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. Formation chance through 48 hours is at 70% and formation chance through 5 days is at 90%. 

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