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September 03, 2021

Tropical Outlook Today

Disturbance 1. A surface trough over the Gulf of Honduras and portions of Central America is expected to move west-northwestward across Central America and the Yucatan Peninsula, bringing heavy rains to that area during the next couple of days.  The disturbance is expected to move over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico late this weekend, but unfavorable upper-level winds could limit significant development while the system moves northwestward or northward over the western Gulf of Mexico early next week. Formation chance through 48 hours is near 0% and formation chance through 5 days is at 30%. 

Disturbance 2. Hurricane Larry is moving West-Northwest with sustained winds at 90 mph and slowly strengthening. 

Disturbance 3. An area of disturbed weather located about 150 miles southwest of the southernmost Cabo Verde Islands is expected to move westward into an environment less conducive for development during the next couple of days, and the chances of formation are decreasing.  Formation chance through 48 hours near 0% and formation chance through 5 days is also near 0%. 

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