June 13, 2026

Tropical Disturbances Today

A broad area of low pressure just offshore of eastern Mexico continues to produce some shower and thunderstorm activity.  While this system has become better organized since yesterday, marginal environmental conditions will probably prevent significant development before the low moves inland over eastern Mexico by Sunday. The system could re-emerge over the northwestern Gulf on Tuesday or Wednesday while interacting with a frontal boundary, but conditions there are also expected to be only marginally conducive for development. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent and formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.



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