(shown left to right below)
Disturbance 1. Off the Southeastern United States: A weak surface trough currently located several hundred miles off the coast of the southeastern United States is expected to form an area of low pressure in a day or so. Thereafter, environmental conditions appear favorable for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form by the latter portion of this week or weekend as as the low initially moves slowly westward, but turns more northward by this weekend. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent and formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
Disturbance 2. Tropical Storm Dexter is a bit weaker but forecast to re-intensify as a post-tropical cyclone in a couple of days. Dexter is located about 345 miles north of Bermuda and moving northeast at 12 MPH with maximum sustained winds of 40 MPH. There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Disturbance 3. Central Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave is over the far eastern tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development during the next few days, and a tropical depression could form late this week or over the weekend as the system moves generally west-northwestward across the central tropical or subtropical Atlantic. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent and formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
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