Disturbance 1. Gulf of Mexico: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over portions of the Gulf of Mexico are associated with a surface trough. A broad area of low pressure is likely to develop over the Gulf of Mexico late this weekend or early next week, but subsequent tropical or subtropical development could be limited by the system's potential interaction with a frontal boundary. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent an formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
Disturbance 2. Hurricane Kirk is no threat to our area. Kirk is located about 1185 miles east of the northern Leeward Islands moving northwest at 10 mph with maximum sustained winds of 120 mph. A turn toward the north and north-northeast at a faster forward speed is forecast over the weekend. There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Disturbance 3. Tropical Storm Leslie should not be a threat to our area but is forecast to strengthen into a hurricane during the next couple of days. Leslie is located about 515 miles southwest of the southernmost Cape Verde Islands moving west at 6 mph with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph. A slow westward motion is expected through tonight, followed by a slightly faster west-northwestward motion Friday through Saturday. There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
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