Disturbance 1. Western Caribbean Sea (AL95): A broad area of low pressure is gradually becoming better defined to the north of eastern Honduras. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some additional development over the next day or so, and a short-lived tropical depression or storm could form before the system moves inland over Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico on Saturday. Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent and formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
Disturbance 2. North of Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands (AL94): A trough of low pressure is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending a couple hundred miles north of Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands. Development, if any, of this disturbance should be slow to occur while it moves quickly westward to west-northwestward at around 20 mph, continuing north of Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands today, then near Hispaniola and the southeastern Bahamas this weekend. Further development is not expected due to strong upper-level winds by early next week. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent and formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
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