Tropical Disturbances Today

See the big picture of tropical disturbances today below

Disturbance 1. Potential Tropical Cyclone Six is expected to become a tropical storm later today bringing the risk of life-threatening storm surge and hurricane-force winds along the Louisiana and upper Texas coasts by mid-week. The system is located 545 miles south of Cameron, Louisiana and moving NNW at 5 MPH with maximum sustained winds of 50 MPH. A slow northwestward to northward motion is expected over the next day or so, followed by a faster motion to the northeast beginning late Tuesday.  On the forecast track, the disturbance is expected to move just offshore of the northern Gulf Coast of Mexico through Tuesday, and approach the Louisiana and Upper Texas coastline on Wednesday.

Disturbance 2. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92): An area of low pressure is located over the central tropical Atlantic.  Environmental conditions are marginally conducive for development during the next few days, and a tropical depression could form while the system meanders over the central tropical Atlantic.  By the middle part of the week, the system is forecast to move westward-northwestward at around 10 mph. Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent and formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

Disturbance 3. Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic: A trough of low pressure is located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. In a couple of days, this trough is expected to interact with an approaching tropical wave.  Afterward, Environmental conditions appear favorable for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form during the middle to latter part of this week while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent and formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.