September 12, 2024

Tropical Disturbances Today



Details of the systems are shown from left to right or west to east

Disturbance 1. Tropical Depression Francine has weakened to a tropical depression currently located about 30 miles south of Jackson, Mississippi moving NNE at 12 MPH with maximum sustained winds of 35 MPH. A turn toward the north is expected during the next day or so, with some decrease in forward speed. On the forecast track, the center of Francine will move over central and northern portions of Mississippi through early Friday. Continued weakening is forecast, and Francine is expected to become a post-tropical cyclone later today.

Disturbance 2. Offshore the Southeastern U.S.: In a few days, a non-tropical area of low pressure could form along a residual frontal boundary a few hundred miles off the southeastern U.S. coastline. Thereafter, some subtropical or tropical development is possible during the early part of next week while the system drifts to the north or northwest. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent and formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Disturbance 3. East of the Leeward Islands (AL94): A small area of low pressure is located a few hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands. However, the proximity of dry air near the system is expected to limit additional  development over the next couple of days. Environmental conditions are expected to become even less conducive over the weekend while the system moves slowly west-northwestward. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent and formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Disturbance 4. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92): A weak area of low pressure is located several hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands. Development of this system is not expected while it moves westward at around 10 mph over the central tropical Atlantic. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent and formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

Disturbance 5. Tropical Depression Seven could become a tropical storm today. The system is located about 600 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands moving WNW at 17 MPH with maximum winds of 35 MPH. There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

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