Disturbance 1. Northwestern Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure is near the upper Texas coast. This system is expected to linger near the coast for the next several days, and some slow development is possible if it remains offshore. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent and formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Disturbance 2. Near the Lesser Antilles and Caribbean Sea: A tropical wave located several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles has changed little in organization since yesterday. Some slow development is possible as the disturbance moves westward and reaches the Lesser Antilles on Monday. The wave is expected to move across the central and western Caribbean Sea later this week, where conditions are forecast to become more conducive for some development, and a tropical depression could form during that time. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent and formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
Disturbance 3. Eastern Tropical Atlantic Ocean: A tropical wave over western Africa is forecast to move offshore on Monday. Thereafter, environmental conditions could support some slow development throughout the week while the system moves slowly westward or west-northwestward over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent and formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
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