August 31, 2024

Tropical Disturbances Today



Disturbance 1. Northwestern Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure is located near the upper Texas coast. This system is expected to linger near the coast through much of next week, and some slow development is possible if it meanders  offshore. Regardless of development, heavy rains could cause some flash flooding across portions of coastal Louisiana and the upper Texas coast during the next few days. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent and formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Disturbance 2. Near the Lesser Antilles and Caribbean Sea: A tropical wave is  located several hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles. The disturbance is forecast to move westward and reach the Lesser Antilles on Monday. Thereafter, environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form while it continues moving westward across the Caribbean Sea through the middle to latter part of the week. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent and formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

Disturbance 3. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: Another tropical wave is located just to the west of the Cabo Verde Islands. Development, if any, should be slow to occur while the system moves slowly westward to west-northwestward over the eastern and central tropical Atlantic through late next week. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent and formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

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