July 03, 2024

Tropical Disturbances Today

1. Hurricane Beryl is a category 4 hurricane now and located about 125 miles southeast of Kingston, Jamaica moving west-northwest at 20 MPH with maximum sustained winds of 145 MPH. This general motion should continue through today, followed by a turn more toward the west tonight or Thursday.  On the forecast track, the center of Beryl will move rapidly across the central Caribbean Sea and is forecast to pass near or over Jamaica later today.  The center is expected to pass near or over the Cayman Islands tonight or early Thursday and move over the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico early Friday. There remains uncertainty in the track and intensity forecast over the western Gulf of Mexico this weekend.

2. East of the Windward Islands (AL96): A tropical wave is located a couple of hundred miles east of the Windward Islands. Development, if any, of this system should be slow to occur while it moves quickly westward to west-northwestward at 20 to 25 mph across the Caribbean Sea. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent and Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

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