June 30, 2024

Tropical Disturbances Today

1. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL94): An area of low pressure remains located over the southern portion of the Bay of Campeche. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further development, and a short-lived tropical depression could form before the system moves inland over Mexico on Monday morning. Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent and formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

2. Hurricane Beryl is now a very dangerous Category 3 Hurricane and located about 420 miles ESE of Barbados moving west at 21 MPH with maximum sustained winds of 115 MPH. Continued rapid strengthening to a category 4 hurricane is forecast over the next day or so and a continued quick westward to west-northwestward motion is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Beryl is expected to move across the Windward Islands early on Monday and across the southeastern Caribbean Sea Monday night and Tuesday. 

3. Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL96): An area of low pressure is located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the middle part of this week while it moves generally westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent and formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

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