June 29, 2024

Tropical Disturbances Today

1. Northwestern Caribbean/Southwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL94):  A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over the Bay of Campeche tonight or early Sunday, where conditions appear generally conducive for further development.  A tropical depression could form before the system moves inland again early next week over Mexico. Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent and formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

2. Tropical Storm Beryl is forecast to become a hurricane tonight or early Sunday with additional strengthening expected after that. Beryl is located about 890 miles ESE of Barbados moving west at 21 MPH with maximum sustained winds at 60 MPH. A relatively quick westward to west-northwestward motion is expected during the next few days.  

3. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: An area of low pressure located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development of this system, and a tropical depression could form by the middle of next week while it moves generally westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent and formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

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