June 20, 2024

Tropical Disturbances Today



1. Tropical Storm Alberto is moving inland over Mexico. Alberto is located about 255 miles south of Brownsville, Texas moving west at 13 MPH with 45 MPH maximum sustained winds. Weakening is anticipated as Alberto continues to move inland, and the storm is likely to dissipate over Mexico later today or tonight. A tornado or two could occur this morning across parts of Deep South Texas. Swells generated by Alberto will affect the coast of Texas and northeastern Mexico through Friday.  These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.

2. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over southeastern Mexico and northern Central America on Friday.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development after this system moves over the Bay of Campeche on Saturday, and a tropical depression could form over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend while it moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent and formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

3. Southwestern Atlantic Ocean (AL92):  A small area of low pressure is located about 150 miles east of the northernmost Bahamas. While environmental conditions are only marginally conducive due to nearby dry air, further development of this system could lead to the development of a tropical depression while the low moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph and approaches the northeastern coast of Florida or the Georgia coast early on Friday.  Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent and formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

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