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June 19, 2023

Tropical Disturbances Today

Disturbance 1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92): The area of low pressure located roughly midway between Africa and the Lesser Antilles has become better organized overnight and is close to becoming a tropical cyclone.  Advisories could be initiated on a tropical depression later today.  This system is forecast to move generally westward at 15 to 20 mph with further development across the central tropical Atlantic through the middle part of this week.  Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent and formation chance through 7 days...high...near 100 percent.

Disturbance 2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave is located several hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.  Further development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression could form within the next few days while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. Formation chance through 48  hours...low...30 percent and formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

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