July 16, 2026

Tropical Disturbances Today

Disturbance 1. A tropical wave is located southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands. Some slow development is possible during the next day or two while the system moves generally west-northwestward at about 10 mph. By this weekend, the system is forecast to move into a less conducive environment, and further development is not expected. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent and formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Disturbance 2. An area of low pressure in the Northeastern Gulf of America and offshore of the Southeastern U.S. is forecast to form this weekend over the northeastern Gulf of America. Some gradual development of this system is possible while it moves slowly northeastward over the northeastern Gulf and near the coast of the southeastern United States early next week. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent and formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.



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