A trough of low pressure (the remnants of Arthur) is located over the southeastern United States. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for some subtropical or tropical development on Friday or Saturday, as the system moves northeastward at around 15 mph, and emerges offshore the east coast of the United States and into the Western Atlantic Ocean. Heavy rainfall with the potential for widespread and life-threatening flash flooding is likely across portions of the Southeast United States during the next day or two. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent and formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
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