Tropical Disturbances Today

Disturbance 1. Northwestern Atlantic:  A broad area of low pressure is located a couple hundred miles off the coast of North Carolina. Development, if any, of this system should be slow to occur during the next day or so while it drifts generally eastward.  The opportunity for development should end on Monday when environmental upper-level wind conditions are expected to become unfavorable. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent and formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Disturbance 2. Hurricane Erin is currently located about 170 miles NNW of San Juan, Puerto Rico moving WNW at 14 MPH with 125 MPH maximum sustained winds. This motion with a decrease in forward speed is expected today, followed by a gradual turn to the north on Monday and Tuesday.  On the forecast track, the core of Erin is expected to pass to the east of the Turks and Caicos Islands and the southeastern Bahamas tonight and Monday.

Disturbance 3. Central Tropical Atlantic:  A tropical wave is located near the Cabo Verde Islands. Some gradual development of this system is possible during the middle to latter portion of the week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent and formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.