Disturbance 1. Hurricane Rafael is currently located about 195 miles west of key West, Florida moving northwet at 9 MPH with maximum sustained winds of 105 MPH. A turn toward the west at a slower forward speed is expected later today, with this general motion continuing through Saturday. On the forecast track, Rafael is expected to meander over the southern Gulf of Mexico for the next few days. There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Disturbance 2. Near the Leeward Islands: A trough of low pressure is over the northern Leeward Islands. Some gradual development of this system is possible during the next couple of days while it moves westward near the Greater Antilles. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent and formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
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