Tropical Disturbances Today

Disturbance 1. Southwestern Caribbean Sea (AL97): There is a broad area of low pressure over the southwestern Caribbean Sea. Gradual development of this system is expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while moving generally northward to northwestward over the central and western Caribbean Sea. Formation chance through 48  hours...high...80 percent and formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

Disturbance 2. Near the Greater Antilles: A trough of low pressure is located a couple hundred miles east of the southeastern Bahamas. Slow development of this system is possible during the day or so while it moves westward toward the southeastern Bahamas and eastern Cuba. This system is expected to be absorbed into the low pressure area over the Caribbean Sea (AL97) by late Monday, ending its chances of development. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent and formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Disturbance 3. Subtropical Storm Patty is no threat to our area. On the forecast track, the center of Patty is expected to move near the southeastern Azores during the next several hours. Weakening is expected during the next couple of days, and Patty is forecast to become a post-tropical low later today or early Monday.