October 09, 2024

Tropical Disturbances Today



Disturbance 1. Hurricane Milton is growing in size as it moves closer to the west coast of Florida bringing life-threatening storm surge, damaging winds, and flooding rais. Milton is currently about 150 miles SW of Tampa moving NNE at 16 mph with maximum sustained winds of 130 mph. On the forecast track, the center of Milton will make landfall along the west-central coast of Florida tonight, cross the Florida peninsula overnight and early Thursday, and move off the east coast of Florida over the western Atlantic Ocean on Thursday. Milton is a category 4 hurricane and is expected to remain an extremely dangerous major hurricane when it reaches the west-central coast of Florida tonight, and remain at hurricane strength while it moves across the Florida peninsula through Thursday. Gradual weakening is forecast while Milton moves eastward over the western Atlantic, and it is likely to become an extratropical storm by early Friday. Click here for much more detail on watches, warnings, etc,

Disturbance 2. Southwestern Atlantic (AL93): A gale-force non-tropical low pressure system is located less than 300 miles west-southwest of Bermuda and remains disorganized.  Environmental conditions are becoming less favorable for tropical or subtropical development today while the low moves northeastward to east-northeastward at around 15 mph.  Upper-level winds are expected to become too strong for further development tonight or on Thursday. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent and formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Disturbance 3. Hurricane Leslie is no threat to our area, located way out in the Atlantic, and moving away from us. There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Disturbance 4. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa late tonight or early Thursday.  Afterward, environmental conditions appear only marginally favorable for some limited development of this system while it moves westward or west-northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic and through the Cabo Verde Islands on Friday. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent and formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.



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