October 19, 2024

Tropical Disturbances Today



Disturbance 1. Tropical Storm Nadine is forecast to make landfall along the coast of Belize later this morning or early afternoon, and then continue across northern Guatemala and southeastern Mexico late this afternoon into tonight. Weakening is forecast to begin this afternoon once Nadine is inland, and the system is likely to dissipate over southeastern Mexico by early Sunday.

Disturbance 2. Near the Southeastern Bahamas (AL94): Showers and thunderstorms are becoming better organized with a small area of low pressure located less than a couple hundred miles north of the northern coast of the Dominican Republic. In addition, a well-defined surface circulation could be developing. If these trends continue, a tropical  depression or storm could form as soon as later today as the system moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph. On this track, the system should pass north of Hispaniola today, and move near the Turks and Caicos Islands, the  southeastern Bahamas, and extreme eastern Cuba on Sunday. Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent and formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

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