October 17, 2024

Tropical Disturbances Today



Disturbance 1. Western Caribbean Sea: Showers and thunderstorms over the western Caribbean Sea are associated with a broad area of low pressure.  Some gradual development is possible over the next couple of days before it moves inland over Central America.  Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent and formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Disturbance 2. East of the Leeward Islands (AL94): Showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands remain disorganized.  Some slow development is possible during the next few days as the disturbance moves quickly westward to west-northwestward around 20 mph, passing near the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico on Friday, then near Hispaniola and the southeastern Bahamas on Saturday. Strong upper-level winds should end the chances of development by late in the weekend. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent and formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

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