October 15, 2024

Tropical Disturbances Today



Disturbance 1. Western Caribbean Sea: A broad area of low pressure could develop over the southwestern Caribbean Sea by the middle to latter portions of this week. Some gradual development is possible thereafter if the system stays over water while it moves slowly west-northwestward towards northern Central America. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent and formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

Disturbance 2. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL94): An area of low pressure is located over the central tropical Atlantic. This system is forecast to move generally westward, and environmental conditions could become more conducive for gradual development by the middle to latter part of this week. A tropical depression could form as the system begins moving west-northwestward and approaches or moves near the Leeward Islands late this week. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent and formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

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