September 18, 2024

Tropical Disturbances Today



Disturbance 1. Northwestern Caribbean Sea: A broad area of low pressure could form late this weekend or early next week over the northwestern Caribbean Sea.  Thereafter, some slow development of this system is possible through the middle of next week while it moves slowly to the north or northwest over the northwestern Caribbean Sea or the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent and formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Disturbance 2. Central Subtropical Atlantic (Remnants of Gordon): The remnants of Gordon is over the central tropical Atlantic and is forecast to interact with a non-tropical low to its northwest while moving north-northeastward at 5 to 10 mph during the next couple of days.  Environmental conditions could become more conducive for development later this week, and a tropical depression or storm could re-form in a few days while the system moves slowly northward over the central subtropical Atlantic. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent and formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

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