July 04, 2024

Tropical Disturbances Today

1. Hurricane Beryl is a category 3 hurricane and located about 50 miles SW of Grand Cayman and moving west-northwest at 20 MPH with maximum sustained winds at 120 MPH. Interests in the northwestern Caribbean Sea and the western Gulf of Mexico, including southern Texas, should closely monitor the progress of Beryl. A westward to west-northwestward motion is expected during the next day or two, taking the core of Beryl away from the Cayman Islands this morning and over the Yucatan Peninsula early Friday. Beryl is expected to emerge over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico Friday night and turn northwestward. Weakening is forecast during the next day or two,  though Beryl is forecast to remain a hurricane until it makes landfall on the Yucatan Peninsula.

2. Eastern Caribbean Sea (AL96): A fast-moving tropical wave is located over the eastern Caribbean Sea. Development, if any, of this system should be slow to occur while it moves quickly westward to west-northwestward at 20 to 25 mph across the Caribbean Sea through this weekend. The system is forecast to cross the Yucatan Peninsula and enter the southwestern Gulf of Mexico by early next week where some development could occur. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent and formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

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