June 21, 2024

Tropical Disturbances Today

1. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form over southeastern Mexico later today.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development after this system moves over the Bay of Campeche tonight, and a tropical depression could form over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend while it moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward. Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent and  Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

2. Southwestern Atlantic Ocean (AL92): A low pressure system is located around 150  miles east-southeast of Jacksonville, Florida. Environmental conditions remain marginally conducive for some additional development, and this system could become a short-lived tropical depression as the low moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. The system is expected to reach the coast of northeastern Florida or Georgia by tonight, and interests there should monitor its progress. Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent and formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

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