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September 25, 2023

Tropical Disturbances Today

Disturbance 1. Southeastern Gulf of Mexico: A trough of low pressure is over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico and does not appear to be a threat to our area.  Development, if any, of this system is expected to be slow to occur over the next day or two while it moves slowly westward.  The disturbance is expected to move into unfavorable environmental conditions by the middle of the week, ending its chances for development. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent and formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

Disturbance 2. Tropical Storm Philippe is no threat to our area. It is located about 1265 miles east of the Northern Leeward Islands moving WNW at 10 MPH with maximum sustained winds of 50 MPH. There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Disturbance 3. Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL91): An area of low pressure is located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next few days as the system moves west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent and formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

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