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September 22, 2023

Tropical Disturbances Today

Disturbance 1. Potential Tropical Cyclone Sixteen is no threat to us but is bringing tropical storm conditions toward the North Carolina Coast. The system is currently about 250 miles ESE of Charleston, South Carolina and moving north at 14 MPH with 50 MPH maximum sustained winds. On the forecast track, the center of the low will approach the coast of North Carolina tonight, and then move across eastern North Carolina, southeastern Virginia, and the Delmarva Peninsula Saturday and Sunday as a tropical storm. 

Disturbance 2. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL90): An area of low pressure is located about 600 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands and continues to show signs of organization. Further development is expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next couple of days while the system moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph. The system is then expected to turn west-northwestward early next week as it moves over the central tropical Atlantic. Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent and formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent.

Disturbance 3. Post-Tropical Cyclone Nigel is no threat to us. There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

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