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September 21, 2023

Tropical Disturbances Today



Disturbance 1. Western Atlantic: A trough of low pressure is located several hundred miles east of the Florida peninsula. A non-tropical low pressure system is expected to form within this area by early Friday, and this system could acquire some subtropical characteristics on Friday or early Saturday while it moves generally northward toward the coast of North Carolina. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent and formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

Disturbance 2. Hurricane Nigel is no threat to us and is located about 495 miles SE of Cape Race, Newfoundland moving NE at 30 MPH with 85 MPH maximum sustained winds. There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Disturbance 3. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave is located just west of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form this weekend or early next week while the system moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent and formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

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