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Disturbance 1. Post-Tropical Cyclone Idalia is now located about 55 miles SSE of Bermuda moving ESE at 6 MPH with 60 MPH maximum sustained winds. Little change in strength is forecast during the next few days. Tropical storm conditions continue on Bermuda and begin to move away from the island tonight and Sunday. Idalia could transition to a subtropical storm later today.
Disturbance 2. Tropical Storm Gert is stronger but not moving much. Gert is located about 705 miles ESE of Bermuda moving NE at 2 MPH with maximum sustained winds at 45 MPH. Gert becomes absorbed by larger Post-tropical Idalia on Monday. There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Disturbance 3. Tropical Storm Katia is located about 580 miles NW of the Cabo Verde Islands moving NNW at 13 MPH with maximum sustained winds of 40 MPH. A turn to the northwest is expected today. Weakening is expected to begin by early Sunday, and the system could degenerate into a remnant low by Sunday evening. There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Disturbance 4. Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave is located over the far eastern tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this system by the middle part of next week, and a tropical depression is likely to form while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the eastern and central portions of the tropical Atlantic. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent and formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
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