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September 15, 2023

Tropical Disturbances Today

Disturbance 1. Hurricane Lee is no threat to our area but remains a large hurricane over the western Atlantic. Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin across parts of coastal New England later this afternoon. Lee is currently located about 460 miles SSE of Nantucket, Massachusetts moving north at 16 MPH with 85 MPH maximum sustained winds. 

Disturbance 2. Tropical Storm Margot is no threat to us. Margot is located about 645 miles west of the Azores moving ESE at 3 MPH with maximum sustained winds of 70 MPH. There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Disturbance 3. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL97): A broad of low pressure area is located about midway between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles. Environmental conditions remain conducive for additional development, and this system is expected to become a tropical depression within the next day or so while it moves west-northwestward to northwestward at 10 to 15 mph across the central tropical Atlantic. Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent and formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. 

Disturbance 4. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa by the middle part of next week. Some gradual development of this system is possible thereafter while the system moves westward across the eastern tropical Atlantic. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent and formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

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