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September 12, 2023

Tropical Disturbances Today

Disturbance 1. Hurricane Lee is no threat to our area but remains a large and powerful hurricane and is expected to cause hazardous conditions at beaches across the western Atlantic all week. Lee is currently located about 575 miles south of Bermuda moving WNW at 7 MPH with maximum sustained winds of 115 MPH. Lee is expected to pass near but to the west of Bermuda in a few days. There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect but Watches could be required for Bermuda later today. Gradual weakening is forecast during the next few days.

Disturbance 2. Hurricane Margot is no threat to our area. Margot is currently located about 935 miles SW of the Azores moving north at 13 MPH with maximum sustained winds of 85 MPH. There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Weakening is likely to begin by Thursday.

Disturbance 3. Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic (AL97 and AL98): A broad area of low pressure is over the eastern tropical Atlantic. This system is expected to consolidate, with a low on the western side becoming dominant over the next day or two. Gradual development of the low is expected after that and a tropical depression is likely to form by this weekend while the system moves west-northwestward or northwestward at about 15 mph across the central tropical Atlantic. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent and formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. 

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