Tropical Disturbances Today

Disturbance 1. Tropical Depression Ten, located about 70 miles SE of Cozumel, is nearing tropical storm intensity and is expected to become a hurricane over the eastern Gulf of Mexico in a couple of days. Currently, maximum sustained winds are at 35 MPH and is moving southeast at 5 MPH. A faster motion toward the north or north-northeast is expected later on Monday, bringing the system over the eastern Gulf of Mexico.

Disturbance 2. Hurricane Franklin is forecast to rapidly intensify into a major hurricane and Bermuda should monitor the progress of Franklin. Franklin is currently located about 575 miles SSW of Bermuda, moving NW at 8 MPH with maximum sustained winds at 90 MPH. A turn toward the north-northwest is expected later today, followed by a northward and north-northeastward motion into the early part of the week. There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. Interests in Bermuda should monitor the progress of this system.

Disturbance 3. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92): A trough of low pressure is located about 1000 miles east-southeast of Bermuda. Development of this system is no longer expected, as it moves slowly northwestward to north-northwestward over the central  subtropical Atlantic over the next couple of days. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent and formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

Disturbance 4. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa in a couple of days. Some slow development of this system is possible later this week while the system moves westward across the eastern tropical Atlantic. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent and formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.