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August 22, 2023

Tropical Disturbances Today



Disturbance 1. Tropical Storm Harold  is expected to move inland over the south Texas coast later this morning. Harold is moving WNW at 18 MPH with 45 MPH maximum sustained winds.  A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the mouth of the Rio Grande to Port O'Connor, Texas. 

Disturbance 2. Tropical Storm Franklin is poorly organized and drifting westward at 3 MPH with maximum sustained winds at 50 MPH. Franklin is located about 260 miles south of Santo Domingo. The system should turn northward today, and a general northward motion is expected on Wednesday.  On the  forecast track, the center of Franklin is forecast to reach the southern coast of Hispaniola on Wednesday, traverse the island and move off of the northern coast on Thursday. A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the entire south coasts of the Dominican Republic and Haiti. 

Disturbance 3. Tropical Depression Gert is barely a tropical cyclone and could dissipate at any time. Gert is located about 290 miles ESE of the Northern Leeward Islands moving WNW at 8 MPH and with maximum sustained winds at 30 MPH. Gert or its remnants should move west-northwestward to northwestward today. There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

Disturbance 4. Central Tropical Atlantic: The remnants of former Tropical Storm Emily are located over the central tropical Atlantic several hundred miles east-northeast of the Leeward Islands.  Although development is unlikely in the next day or so due to unfavorable environmental conditions, some development is possible late this week or this weekend when the system moves northward over the subtropical central Atlantic. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent and formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Disturbance 5. Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL92): A tropical wave is located a few hundred miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions appear generally conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form later this week or over the weekend while it moves west-northwestward to northwestward across the eastern and central Atlantic. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent and formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

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