Disturbance 1. Western Gulf of Mexico (AL91): A broad area of low pressure is located over the central Gulf of Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form before it reaches the western Gulf of Mexico coastline on Tuesday. Interests in southern Texas and northern Mexico should monitor the progress of this system as tropical storm watches or warnings are likely to be issued later today. Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent and formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
Disturbance 2. Tropical Storm Franklin is located about 240 miles south of Santo and is slowing down. Franklin is currently moving west at 9 MPH with 50 MPH maximum sustained winds. A sharp turn to the north is expected tonight or early Tuesday, and a generally northward motion is expected later on Tuesday. Interests in Haiti and the Dominican Republic, where Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect, should monitor the progress of this system.
Disturbance 3. Tropical Storm Gert is expected to dissipate at any time. Gert is currently located about 410 miles ESE of the northern Leeward Islands moving west at 8 MPH with maximum sustained winds of 40 MPH. Gert is forecast to turn northwestward tonight or tomorrow. There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Disturbance 4. Post-Tropical Cyclone Emily is now a Remnant Low. Slow weakening is expected during the next couple of days. There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Disturbance 5. Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL92): A tropical wave is over the Cabo Verde Islands and portions of the tropical eastern Atlantic. Environmental conditions appear generally conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form later this week while it moves west-northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic. Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent and formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.