Tropical Disturbances Today

Disturbance 1. Western Gulf of Mexico: An area of disturbed weather located in the far eastern Gulf of Mexico is expected to lead to the formation of a broad area of low pressure early this week. Some slow development of this system could occur thereafter as it moves westward at about 15 to 20 mph, and a tropical depression could form as it approaches the western Gulf of Mexico coastline by Tuesday. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent and formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

Disturbance 2. Eastern Caribbean (AL90): An area of low pressure is over the far eastern Caribbean Sea. Additional development of this system is expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next couple of days as it moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the eastern and central Caribbean, before turning northward and moving into the southwestern Atlantic Ocean by midweek. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is possible over portions of the Lesser Antilles during the next couple of days. Interests in the eastern and central Caribbean should monitor the progress of this system. Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent and formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Disturbance 3. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL98):  An area of low pressure is located several hundred miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. A short-lived tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form later today or tonight while it moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph over the central tropical Atlantic. By Monday, upper-level winds are forecast to strengthen over the system, and further development is not expected. Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent and formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

Disturbance 4. Tropical Depression Six is is moving west near 15 MPH with maximum sustained winds at 35 MPH. Some gradual weakening is expected, and the depression is forecast to become a remnant low early Monday and dissipate soon thereafter. No hazards are affecting land.

Disturbance 5. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave is located over the far  eastern tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form later this week while it moves west-northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent and formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.