Disturbance 1. Central Tropical Atlantic (AL96): A broad area of low pressure is located a little less than 1000 miles east-northeast of the Leeward Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to be marginally favorable for gradual development of this system during the next few days, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the early part of this week. The system is expected to move northwestward at about 15 mph during the next day or so, and then turn northward over the central subtropical Atlantic by late Monday or Tuesday. Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent and formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
Disturbance 2. Off the Carolina Coast: A trough of low pressure has recently emerged off the Carolina coastline, and is currently located about 100 miles south of Wilmington, North Carolina. Environmental conditions appear generally favorable for some additional development over the next day or two as the system gradually accelerates east-northeastward into the northwestern Atlantic ocean. Afterwards, this system is likely to merge with a frontal boundary. Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent and formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
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