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June 27, 2022

Tropical Disturbances Today

Disturbance 1.  Northern Gulf of Mexico: Development of a trough of low pressure over the north-central Gulf of Mexico is expected to be slow to occur while it moves west-southwestward at about 10 mph toward the northwestern Gulf of  Mexico and approaches the coasts of southern Texas and northeastern Mexico during the next few days. Formation chance through 48 hours is at 10% and formation chance through 5 day is at 20%. 

Disturbance 2 Central Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave is located about 900 miles east-southeast of the southern Windward Islands. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next couple of days before the system reaches the Windward Islands Tuesday night or possibly while moving westward across the southern Caribbean Sea Wednesday through Friday. A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system this afternoon.  Interests in the Windward Islands and along the northeastern coast of Venezuela should monitor the progress of this system, and tropical storm watches or warnings could be required for portions of these areas later today. Formation chance through 48 hours is at 70% and formation chance through 5 days is at 80%. 

Disturbance 3. Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave is located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions could become conducive for gradual development later this week while the system moves west-northwestward at around 15 mph over the central tropical Atlantic. Formation chance through 48 hours is near 0% and formation chance through 5 days is at 20%. 



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