Tropical Disturbances Today

Disturbance 1. A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean has become better defined today. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development of this system over the next few days, and a tropical depression could form during the early to middle part of next week.  This system is forecast to move westward at 15 to 20 mph over the tropical Atlantic, approach the Windward Islands on Tuesday, and move across the southern Caribbean Sea on Wednesday and Thursday. Formation chance through 48 hours is at 30% and formation chance through 5 days is at 60%. 

Disturbance 2. An area of low pressure could form early next week over the northern Gulf of Mexico.  Any development of this system would likely be slow to occur as it drifts westward across the northwestern Gulf of Mexico. Formation chance through 48 hours is near 0% and formation chance through 5 days is at 20%.