Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the southwestern Caribbean Sea continue in association with a trough of low pressure. Gradual development of this system is possible while it drifts northwestward near the coasts of Nicaragua and Honduras, and it could become a tropical depression late this week if the disturbance remains over water. Formation chance through 48 hours is at 20% and formation chance through 5 days is at 40%. It is too soon to forecast any impact on the northern Gulf Coast region.
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