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September 21, 2021

Tropical Outlook Today

Disturbance 1. NOT A THREAT TO US. Tropical Storm Peter. Interests in the northern Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico should monitor the progress of this system.

Disturbance 2. NOT A THREAT TO US. Tropical Storm Rose.

Disturbance 3. COULD BE A THREAT – STAY TUNED. A tropical wave located a few hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands is likely to form into a Tropical Depression by Thursday or Friday while the system moves westward at 10 to 15 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic Ocean. Formation chance through 48 hours is at 50% and formation chance through 5 days is at 90%. 

Disturbance 4. NOT A THREAT TO US. A storm-force, non-tropical low pressure system, the remnants of Odette, is located about 700 miles west-northwest of the westernmost Azores. This low could acquire some subtropical characteristics over marginally warm waters during the next few days while it executes a small cyclonic loop over the north-central Atlantic Ocean. However, by the end of the week, this system is expected to encounter more hostile environmental conditions. Formation chance through 48 hours is at 20% and formation chance through 5 days is at 40%.  



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